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  • Authors: Petr, M.;  Advisor: -;  Participants: - (2015)

  • The inherent uncertainty of climate change impacts is one of the main challenges for adaptation in environmental management. The lack of knowledge about climate impacts on ecosystem services at high spatial and temporal resolution limits when and what adaptation measures should be taken. We addressed these limits by assessing four ecosystem services—forest production, tree growth, sequestered carbon, and tourism potential—under drought or climate change. To support adaptation, we adapted the existing concept of ‘dynamic adaptive policy pathways’ for forest management by developing an action expiration chart, which helps to define expiry dates for forestry actions using ecosystem services delivery thresholds. We assessed services for Sitka spruce, Scots pine, and pedunculate oak on t...

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  • Authors: van der Veen, A.; Petr, M.;  Advisor: -;  Participants: - (2014)

  • Thesis explore uncertainty from a decision maker’s perspective; investigate uncertainty from a modeller’s perspective ;reports on the outputs from the drought risk assessment across Britain for the three major species and provides a better understanding of quantified climate change uncertainty; highlights changes of the main forest ecosystem goods and services under climate change impacts over the next 80 years, and suggests how they can be incorporated within the dynamic adaptive policy pathways approach modified for forestry application; reports on changes in forest planners’ decisions about expiry dates for forestry management actions due to new climate change information and discuss the barriers for uptake of this information in the forest planning; reflects on the key findings,...

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